A flat bet on either overs or unders this week lost to the juice and pushed the seasonal numbers to for flat one-unit bets on the over. On the season, only 44.6% of games have gone over the listed total. That means unders are still the better plays, which makes sense as the betting public prefers overs and books shade that way because of it.
From a broader perspective, think of it in the same way that an NFL season develops. By the midway point, we have some really good clues on whether teams fall into the camp of the have or have not for the season. For a helpful clue, we can dig even deeper on team records and what’s going on of late.
Nfl Preseason Betting Trends
Minnesota’s offense has a 5.9 yards-per-play average compared to the 6.3 yards Dallas allows per play . Detroit 2-11 ATS past 13 games overall including 11 straight SU losses. A lot of negative trends on both sides – the Chargers don’t cover as favorites, the Panthers don’t cover as dogs. Eagles are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 Monday Night road games. Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in September.
Below is a chart of all the winning margins from the 2020 NFL season, courtesy ofFTNData. The higher the bar goes on the graph, http://memodata.dk/?p=26118 the more often that number was the winning margin in NFL football games last regular season. Don’t let a chance to capitalize on another set of relatively soft lines slip by without taking advantage. Bookmakers are still setting odds for these Week 2 games based on the public perception of teams from last year, something sharper bettors can easily take advantage of.
Denver Broncos Vs Cleveland Browns Nfl Betting Consensus
The New Orleans Saints are back on the road for the fourth time in five weeks to start the season , this time to face the Washington Football Team in Landover, Maryland. Despite informative post coming off their bye, the Cowboys have a giant question mark heading into tonight’s game. It appears quarterback Dak Prescott is a true game-time decision. However, those closer to the situation have expressed they would be surprised if he plays, and the NFL betting odds have moved to reflect this. So, it would be Cooper Rush under center instead, which is a clear downgrade for this entire offense, which needs to pass the ball with success tonight. While last week’s NFL betting contest ended in defeat, quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo was still sharp.
Arizona is also 4-1 ATS on the season, including a cover last week against the 49ers. Taylor Heinicke couldn’t top 200 yards last week against a Chiefs defense that had previously struggled to stop anyone. Even in a game where WFT’s underachieving defense put up a fight against Patrick Mahomes for a half, they still allowed 499 total yards of offense.
He should struggle again with the Patriots’ amoeba scheming. Jones should feel rather comfortable against Dean Pees’ defense, given Belichick knows all about it. The run will set up the pass nicely to tight end Hunter Henry, wide receiver Kendrick Bourne and others. The Patriots have become slightly bigger favorites from the initial 6-point line in their favor. The Falcons don’t have much offensively and the Patriots have been near dominant defensively, which adds up to the lower point total. Learning through experience to master the essential skills is the core backbone of any investment.
The Rams have been profitable as a road team and within conference and divisional games. Meanwhile the Niners are 5-1 ATS in their past six games as underdogs. UNDER is 18-7 Denver’s last 25 games when playing as the underdog. UNDER trends galore follow the Broncos into Foxboro, where the Pats almost never lose in October. The Colts before a bye week has been easy money over the years .
The Bills’ cornerbacks are playing well but Gordon can help create better matchups overall. —70 percent of spread bettors side with the Chiefs to take care of their small number at home. The Bills’ defense has been balling out, with two shutouts in four games, but they also have four bottom-level QBs. Meanwhile, the much-maligned Chiefs’ defense will be under pressure to contain Allen.
All the latest in-depth fantasy sports and sports betting news, including expert advice for fantasy lineups and more. From 2015 to 2017, home underdogs of more than three points in Weeks 1 through 4 covered 60% of their 25 graded games (i.e., games where a push did not occur). While it may have looked as though backing long home underdogs early in the season was a profitable betting strategy in 2017, there wasn’t anything statistically significant about the trend. And from 2018 to 2020, these same teams covered only 40% of their graded games.